Fieldwork conducted on 7-10 July
2026
According to BRC-Opinium data, consumer expectations
over the next three months of:
-
The state of the economy improved to -37 in
July, up from -43 in June.
-
Their personal financial situation improved to
-12 in July, up from -15 in June.
-
Their personal spending on retail fell to +1
in July, down from +5 in June.
-
Their personal spending overall fell to +13 in
July, down from +16 in June.
-
Their personal saving increased to -4 in July,
up from -9 in June.
Helen Dickinson, Chief Executive of the British Retail
Consortium, said:
Consumer confidence improved for the third month in a row, thanks
in large part to a bump in sentiment among baby boomers. This
rise may have been driven in part by Andy Burnham's confirmation
as the next PM, ending a period of political instability, as well
as by a national feel-good factor of England progressing through
the World Cup knockout stages. But we should not mistake this for
recovery: only around one in ten expect the economy to improve in
the future, and spending intentions remain more modest, though
this may reflect lower inflation expectations, rather than
tighter budgets.
While the direction of travel is encouraging, confidence remains
fragile, with cost-of-living pressures continuing to weigh
heavily on many families. While retailers are doing all they can
to keep prices affordable for customers, the Government can play
its part to reduce the cost burden on the industry, giving
retailers the breathing room to invest in lower prices for the
future. By tackling spiralling business costs, Andy will be helping retailers to drive
down the cost of living for everyone.
Consumer expectations for the state of the economy
over the next three months:
Consumer expectations for their personal financial
situation over the next three months:
Consumer expectations of spending over the next three
months by category:
Consumer NET expectations of spending over the next
three months by category:
-ENDS-
The BRC sent this release to our "Monitors" and "General
Retail" media list. To check/update what media lists you are on,
please contact us below.
Methodology:
Fieldwork conducted by Opinium for the BRC. Sample included 2,000
UK adults and results have been weighted and assigned a net
score. The better/worse figures in the graphs are rounded, while
net scores are calculated from precise figures. Questions were:
- Over the next 3 months, do you expect your personal finances
to get better or worse?
- Over the next 3 months, do you expect the state of the UK
economy to get better or worse?
- What do you plan to do in relation to your spending over the
next 3 months?
- Reflecting on your retail spend across different categories,
overall do you expect to spend more or less on retail items over
the next 3 months?
- What are your expectations for saving over the next 3 months?
- What are your expectations for spending on the following
retail categories over the next three months compared to the
previous 3 months?
If you would like the results of the questions by Gender,
Generation, Location, Working status, or Income, please contact
the Press Office. Generations are defined as: Gen Z (18-29),
Millennial (30-45), Gen X (46-61), Boomer (62-80).
This monitor was started in March 2024, and records are from this
date.