UK Senior Military Advisor, Lt Col Joby Rimmer, reaffirms the
UK's unwavering support for Ukraine while condemning Russia's
escalating actions, including nuclear rhetoric and missile
deployments, urging renewed risk reduction measures and calling
on Russia and Belarus to return to international compliance to
preserve regional security.
"The United Kingdom's steadfast support for Ukraine, defending
its sovereignty, protecting its people, and resisting aggression,
remains unwavering, and will endure for as long as it takes. Yet
while Ukraine and its partners pursue a just peace based on
international law, Russia continues to choose to intensify its
campaign at every turn. Its irresponsible nuclear rhetoric,
together with the irresponsible and deliberately escalatory
deployment of the Oreshnik intermediate range system including in
Belarus, are actions designed to elevate tension, undermine
serious negotiations, and distract from Russia's ongoing war of
aggression. They undermine regional stability, erode confidence,
heighten the risk of miscalculation across the OSCE area.
First, on Russia's actions and the Oreshnik system now stationed
in Belarus. Ground-launched intermediate range missiles of this
type were systems prohibited under the INF Treaty. Assertions
from Moscow and Minsk that ‘the West destroyed arms control'
disregard the documented sequence of events. The INF Treaty
collapsed because Russia developed and fielded a noncompliant
system, the SSC8 (‘Screwdriver'), a weapon later used in combat
in Ukraine. Faced with Russia's persistent violations, the United
States concluded that remaining bound by a treaty the other party
was openly breaching had little utility. This decision did not
‘open Pandora's box'; it recognised that Russia had already
opened it through covert development and deployment.
Second, on nuclear rhetoric. Russia's use of irresponsible
nuclear rhetoric is not deterrence as practised by responsible
states; it is intimidation intended to suppress support for a UN
recognised sovereign state defending itself from aggression. Such
rhetoric is incompatible with both the letter and spirit of the
NPT, as well as the OSCE's foundational commitments. The United
Kingdom will not legitimise it.
Nor will we be drawn into debating Belarus's NPT posture in this
forum. But we must register, in the clearest terms, that
Belarus's public commentary on the INF Treaty, echoing Russian
talking points, is unacceptable. The claim that ‘the West
destroyed the INF regime' is demonstrably false. Compliance
matters. Russian non-compliance ended the Treaty and security
across the entire OSCE region is now undermined by the Treaty's
absence.
Third, the imperative of risk management and mitigation. History
and present events illustrate how quickly strategic signalling
can spiral into crisis. The recent trends of nuclear-related
dialogues beyond the Euro-Atlantic shows how difficult it becomes
to rebuild cooperation once channels are lost. That lesson
applies equally here. The OSCE's value lies in practical risk
reduction: transparency, notifications, hotlines, incident
prevention, and restraint in posture and rhetoric. The FSC should
be used to restore practical guardrails, greater transparency on
deployments, revitalised incident prevention mechanisms, renewed
deconfliction channels, and restraint in exercises and strategic
signalling. With the political will to do so, these measures
remain achievable – including now.
The Kremlin's aim is to divide Europe, weaken NATO, and reassert
dominance over neighbours. If illegal aggression is allowed to
succeed, it will be repeated. That is why Allies are
strengthening defence industrial capacity, modernising forces,
and deepening interoperability: to deter further aggression and
to preserve peace. The United Kingdom will continue to support
Ukraine's self-defence for as long as it takes, uphold the
European security order, and invest in credible deterrence
alongside Allies. We urge Russia to cease its aggression,
withdraw its forces, and return to compliance with its
international obligations. We urge Belarus to step back from
actions and narratives that further militarise our region.
Thank you."