Further public funding on the green transition would spur
economic growth, reduce the damage caused by climate change and
prove overwhelmingly popular with the public, according to a new
report from IPPR.
Despite a darkening economic picture, increased government
investment is fiscally responsible as a means to stimulate
growth, reduce the costs of importing gas and tackle the growing
expense of inaction.
The report finds that investing now to tackle climate change is
the most responsible and cost-saving policy for government. The
transition to net zero provides an opportunity to boost economic
growth from new businesses and jobs which will increase public
revenue. A 0.5 percentage point increase in GDP
would loosen the fiscal constraints on government budgets and
allow about £12 billion more in public spending. It
is estimated that net zero will boost GDP by 2 per
cent by 2030 and 3 per cent by 2050 through the
creation of high value high skilled new industries and cheaper
energy.
Conversely, not acting on climate change is increasingly
expensive; flooding alone in the winter of 2019/20
cost the UK economy £333 million, while cleaner air,
less pollution and more green spaces would
also reduce the burden on the NHS by £2 billion a
year.
Even as the cost of living increases, public support for
environmental action remains strong. Polling conducted by Opinium
shows that a call for a multibillion climate
investment package is supported by 68 per cent of the
public, with just 21 per cent opposing. Additionally,
six in 10 people (59 per cent) support a multibillion package
funded by borrowing.
While in the short term the government needs to make investments
that avoid contributing to inflation, measures such as investing
in clean energy and retrofitting homes to use less energy would
have anti-inflationary effects.
The green transition can play a significant role in solving some
of the country’s most pressing imminent problems, and the vast
majority of the public agree with four in five
people seeing investment in renewables as a way out of the
current energy crisis.
The IPPR report sets out five principles for responsible public
investment in net zero:
-
Fair: ensuring spending addresses
inequalities and creates a return for the public purse wherever
possible
-
Additional: providing added value to the
private sector, taking on risk with a longer time horizon to
drive new low-carbon markets
-
Phased: increasing year on year, to avoid
supply chain constraints and inflationary risk
-
Reforming: paired with industrial
strategy to reform the economy and improve productive
potential
-
Efficient: meeting multiple objectives
across social, economic and environmental goals
Sam Alvis, associate fellow at IPPR, said:
“Now is not the time to back away from much needed green
investment. As the UK enters recession, it’s even more important
for public investment to drive the new, clean infrastructure that
we know can generate stronger growth. Rolling out renewable
energy, restoring our natural environment or expanding public
transport, can all improve our productivity whilst driving down
emissions.
“But in a challenging economic environment the government
must ensure that its spending goes as far as possible and
delivers both economic growth and emissions reductions.
Prioritising measures that crowd-in private investment,
establishing more independent oversight, and making existing
institutions more targeted can all do that.”
Luke Murphy, associate director for energy, climate,
housing and infrastructure at IPPR, said:
“Increasing investment to reach net zero is an economic,
environmental, and political necessity. It is not just the
environmentally responsible choice; it is fiscally and
politically responsible too.
“Green investment is popular, is the best route to a
prosperous economy and addressing the cost of living, and will
help us address the existential threat of climate change and
environmental breakdown. The costs of inaction are far greater
and a substantial threat to our economy and way of
life.
”But any public investment must be spent wisely and fairly.
That’s why we recommend a new Olympic-style delivery body for net
zero to maximise the economic and environmental opportunities of
the transition, lever in private investment, and improve the
everyday lives of people and communities across the
country.”