EMBARGOED UNTIL DELIVERY
My Lord Mayor, Ladies and Gentlemen.
Whether by virtue of history or accident of geography, this
country has always looked out to the world. I was born in
Southampton, a port city the Victorians called the gateway to the
world, where the Mayflower set sail, where Spitfires were built
and allied troops embarked on D-Day.
And just as we look out to the world, so the world often looks to
Britain. Like many others, my grandparents came to the UK, via
East Africa and the Indian subcontinent and made their lives
here. In recent years, we’ve welcomed thousands of people from
Hong Kong, Afghanistan, and Ukraine.
We’re a country that stands up for our values, that defends
democracy by actions not just words. A country that commits not
just our resources but our ingenuity to better the lives of
others, and ourselves. Ukrainian flags have flown over almost
every town and city on these islands for the last nine months. No
one told people to put them there. They felt moved to show
solidarity with people they’ve never met, in a country most have
never visited, to show their faith in fairness, freedom and the
rule of law. These values are constant. They are set in
stone.
But as the world evolves, so does our application of those
values. As Edmund Burke argued, circumstances and context are
everything. And today the pace of geopolitical change is
intensifying. Our adversaries and competitors plan for the long
term.
After years of pushing at the boundaries, Russia is challenging
the fundamental principles of the UN Charter. China is
consciously competing for global influence using all the levers
of state power.
In the face of these challenges, short-termism or wishful
thinking will not suffice. We can’t depend on Cold War arguments
or approaches, or mere sentimentality about the past. So we
will make an evolutionary leap in our approach.
This means being stronger in defending our values and the
openness on which our prosperity depends. It means delivering a
stronger economy at home, as the foundation of our strength
abroad. And it means standing up to our competitors, not with
grand rhetoric but with robust pragmatism.
We will do all this not only through our diplomatic expertise,
science and tech leadership, and investment in defence and
security, but by dramatically increasing the quality and depth of
our partnerships with like-minded countries around the world.
We will set out more detail in the updated Integrated Review in
the new year, including how we’ll work with friends in the
Commonwealth, the US, the Gulf states, Israel and others.
But tonight I’d like to describe how we’re already making this
evolutionary leap in three other places.
First, as we stand by Ukraine, we’re also reinvigorating our
European relationships to tackle challenges like security and
migration.
Second, we’re taking a longer-term view on China, strengthening
our resilience and protecting our economic security.
And third, we’re seizing the huge opportunities on offer in the
Indo-Pacific by building deep and long-lasting partnerships.
First, Ukraine. In Kyiv, I saw how Russia’s focus is shifting
from bruising encounters on the battlefield to brutalising the
civilian population. It was written in the scarred buildings and
the piles of rubble lining the streets, in the stories of the
first responders I met from liberated Kherson, from the torture
chambers to the booby traps left in children's toys.
As the world comes together to watch the World Cup, I saw how an
explosive device had been hidden inside a child's football –
seeking to make it a weapon of war.
It defies belief. So be in no doubt. We will stand with Ukraine
for as long as it takes. We will maintain or increase our
military aid next year. And we will provide new support for air
defence, to protect the Ukrainian people and the critical
infrastructure they rely on.
By protecting Ukraine, we protect ourselves.
With the fall of Kabul, the pandemic, and economic strife, some
said the West was weak. In fact, our response in Ukraine has
shown the depth of our collective resolve. Sweden and Finland are
joining NATO. Germany is increasing its defence spending.
Partners as far afield as Australia, Japan and South Korea are
standing with us. We’ve developed an entirely new sanctions
model. And through NATO and the Joint Expeditionary Force we’re
guarding against further Russian aggression, whether in the east
or the High North. We’re also evolving our wider post-Brexit
relations with Europe, including bilaterally and engaging with
the new European Political Community.
But this is not about greater alignment. Under my leadership
we’ll never align with EU law. Instead, we’ll foster respectful,
mature relationships with our European neighbours on shared
issues like energy and illegal migration to strengthen our
resilience against strategic vulnerabilities.
And that brings me to my second point. We also need to evolve our
approach to China.
Let’s be clear, the so-called “golden era” is over, along with
the naïve idea that trade would lead to social and political
reform.
But nor should we rely on simplistic Cold War rhetoric.
We recognise China poses a systemic challenge to our values and
interests, a challenge that grows more acute as it moves towards
even greater authoritarianism.
Instead of listening to their people’s protests, the Chinese
Government has chosen to crack down further, including by
assaulting a BBC journalist.
The media – and our parliamentarians – must be able to highlight
these issues without sanction, including calling out abuses in
Xinjiang – and the curtailment of freedom in Hong Kong.
Of course, we cannot simply ignore China’s significance in world
affairs - to global economic stability or issues like climate
change.
The US, Canada, Australia, Japan and many others understand this
too.
So together we’ll manage this sharpening competition, including
with diplomacy and engagement.
Much of this is about dramatically improving our resilience,
particularly our economic security.
That’s why we created new powers under the National Security and
Investment Act, it’s why we used them this month to block the
sale of Newport Wafer Fab.
It's why we took action on 5G.
And it's why we’re ending global dependence on authoritarian
regimes – starting with Russian gas.
We’re also acting to deepen our ties in the Indo-Pacific – the
third example of where we’re evolving our approach.
Before I came into politics, I invested in businesses around the
world. And the opportunity in the Indo-Pacific is
compelling.
Take Indonesia, which I visited this month.
It’s a young, vibrant country, the world’s third largest
democracy, poised to become a top 5 economy.
By 2050, the Indo-Pacific will deliver over half of global growth
compared with just a quarter from Europe and North America
combined.
That’s why we’re joining the Trans-Pacific trade deal, the CPTPP,
delivering a new FTA with India and pursuing one with Indonesia.
But in the Indo-Pacific economics and security are
indivisible.
60% of global trade passes through regional shipping routes,
including choke points like the straits of Malacca.
It’s in our interests to keep these trade lines open. That’s why
we joined the Five Power Defence Arrangements with Australia,
Malaysia, New Zealand and Singapore half a century ago.
And it’s why we’re evolving new long-term defence, industrial and
technological partnerships, like AUKUS with Australia and the US,
and the Future Combat Air System with Italy and Japan.
By deepening these ties we’ll help protect the arteries and
ventricles of the global economy, supporting security and
prosperity – both at home in our European neighbourhood and in
the Indo-Pacific.
My Lord Mayor, as we meet here tonight, the people of Ukraine are
hunkered down in freezing temperatures, on the front line of the
fight for freedom.
In Iran, women are displaying the most humbling and breath-taking
courage, refusing to bow to thuggish, theocratic control.
And tomorrow Iran’s football team will again stand with them in
solidarity – facing unknown consequences as a result.
Freedom and openness have always been the most powerful forces
for progress.
But they have never been achieved by standing still.
As Henry Kissinger wrote: “during periods of crisis, whether war,
technological change or economic dislocation, management of the
status quo may be the riskiest choice of all.”
Under my leadership we won’t choose the status quo. We will do
things differently. We will evolve, anchored always by our
enduring belief in freedom, openness and the rule of law and
confident that in this moment of challenge and competition our
interests will be protected… and our values will prevail.