An updated algorithm designed by government to set how many new
homes need to be built in local areas will lead to London and the
south seeing a housing boom while swathes of the north will see
fewer homes built, councils warn today.
Under proposed changes to the housing numbers requirements,
the Government will revise the current method for setting targets
for councils on the number of homes to be built in their local
areas.
The Local Government Association, which represents councils
in England and Wales, said the new formula has introduced a stark
variation in where new homes are required to be built without
regard to the wider levelling-up agenda.
Analysis of the new government formula shows that, compared
to the current formula, the highest percentage increase in new
homes growth will be expected in the Midlands and the South, with
lower growth rates in northern regions.
The new methodology will also disproportionately impact on
rural rather than urban areas. Some of the most rural places in
England will see a requirement for a 59 per cent increase in
homes compared with those required to be built under the current
algorithm, compared to a 20 per cent increase in major urban
areas.
The analysis also shows that, compared with the number of
homes built in recent years:
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Under the new national targets, London will be expected
to see a 161 per cent increase in housing. A 57 per cent
increase in new homes will be expected in the south east and 39
per cent in the south west.
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For example, Brighton and Hove will be expected to
deliver a 287 per cent increase in housing, Dover will have to
increase new homes by 294 per cent and Tunbridge Wells will
have to increase by 184 per cent
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In comparison, proposed housing targets for the north
east are 28 per cent lower than existing delivery, 8 per cent
lower in the north west and 6 per cent lower in Yorkshire and
Humberside.
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Northern cities stand to see significantly fewer homes
built with the new requirement seeing a 66 per cent decrease on
those built in recent years in Newcastle, 59 per cent in
Liverpool, 20 per cent in Sheffield and 16 per cent in
Leeds.
Councils are committed to delivering the new homes with the
right infrastructure that our communities desperately need and
want to work with the Government to ensure a locally-led planning
system provides certainty for communities, encourages brownfield
development, delivers better infrastructure and increases local
involvement.
However, with nine in 10 planning applications approved by
councils, and more than a million homes given planning permission
in the last decade not yet built, it is the housing delivery
system that is fundamentally broken, not the planning
system.
A locally-led planning system needs to be able to ensure
developments are of a high standard, are built in the right
places, include affordable homes and are supported by
infrastructure that provides enough schools, promotes greener and
more active travel, and tackles climate change.
To ensure people have the right access to a mix of housing,
the LGA is also calling on the Government to use the forthcoming
Spending Review to allow councils to retain 100 per cent of Right
to Buy receipts and be given the flexibility to set discounts
locally in order to invest in new and existing stock.
Cllr David Renard, LGA housing spokesperson, said:
“Councils have raised concerns over the Government’s new
housing numbers and it is positive that ministers have indicated
that they are willing to listen and work with local government to
get this right.
“Under these plans, some parts of the country will have to
ramp up housebuilding with existing targets doubled. Others,
mainly cities in the north, will be told they need to build less,
which risks reducing the number of homes they had earmarked for
development and bulldozing their current house-building
plans.
“This seriously jeopardises any ambition to level-up the
country. Building new good quality and affordable housing is
vital to regenerating our towns and cities, improving our health
and wellbeing, creating jobs and enabling local economies to
thrive and bounce back following the coronavirus pandemic.
“Algorithms and formulas can never be a substitute for
local knowledge and decision-making by councils and communities
who know their areas best. When decisions about housing need and
developments are made locally, wider issues can be considered,
such as ensuring they come with necessary infrastructure and
affordable homes.
“If we are to truly fix our chronic housing shortage, the
Spending Review needs to ensure councils have the tools, powers
and flexibilities to plan for and deliver the quality homes and
places our communities need."