Analysis on 25th anniversary of commissioning of UK's first
offshore wind farm finds the technology is now main source of
electricity from North Sea, overtaking gas The growth of
offshore wind has reduced the UK's spending on imported fuels by at
least £30bn (in 2024 real prices) to-date, finds new analysis by
the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU). [1] Coming
on the 25th anniversary of the commissioning of the UK's first
offshore wind farm at...Request free
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- Analysis on 25th anniversary of commissioning of UK's first
offshore wind farm finds the technology is now main source of
electricity from North Sea, overtaking gas
The growth of offshore wind has reduced the UK's spending on
imported fuels by at least £30bn (in 2024 real prices) to-date,
finds new analysis by the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit
(ECIU). [1]
Coming on the 25th anniversary of the commissioning of
the UK's first offshore wind farm at Blyth Harbour in
Northumberland, [2] the analysis finds that, for the first time,
UK offshore wind generation overtook the amount of electricity
generated from domestically-produced gas in 2024, generating
around 10% more power. [3]
This will become the norm, with the gap growing [4] as North Sea
gas production continues its decline, irrespective of any new
drilling [5], and as new offshore wind farms come online. [6]
Jess Ralston, Head of Energy at the Energy and Climate
Intelligence Unit (ECIU), said: “We're seeing a
symbolic shift in power in the North Sea as gas continues its
decades-long decline while offshore wind takes top spot as the
main source of British electricity for homes and businesses
across the UK.
“As a mature basin, it's an inevitability that North Sea gas
output will continue to fall, so unless offshore wind expands,
we'll be ever more reliant on foreign gas imports and be ever
more dependent on the international gas markets that sent bills
haywire.
“The UK has done well to shift to clean, homegrown
electricity, but it now needs to do the same for heating. Unless
the UK gets on with installing electric heat pumps that can run
off British renewables, the UK's gas boilers will increasingly
run on foreign gas as the North Sea runs out.”
Since late 2000, cumulative generation from offshore wind
totalled over 400 terrawatt-hours (TWh) as of mid-2025, which
otherwise would likely have been provided by a mixture of gas and
coal. [7] Given the ongoing decline of UK gas and coal
production, this extra consumption would have pushed up their
imports by 10% and 4%, respectively, over the past 25 years.
[8]
Of these avoided payments to overseas fossil fuel producers, an
estimated £1bn (real prices, 2024 £) could have been paid to
Russia for imports of LNG and coal, based on its historical share
of imports, were it not for UK offshore wind power. [9]
25 years into their deployment, UK offshore wind farms currently
produce almost 50TWh of electricity per year (17% of UK total
generation). [10] UK nuclear power plants reached that same level
of output 27 years after the first station at Calderhall opened
in 1956. [11]
ENDS
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Notes to editors:
1.The analysis assumed that the absence of
offshore wind would have meant more use of gas and
coal power plants, in proportion with their actual
generation levels in each year, based on data from
DUKES 5.6
Electricity Fuel Use, Generation & Supply
(DESNZ, 2025), and that this extra fuel would have
been met by imports. The prices of gas and steam
coal for power generation were taken from QEP 3.2.1 Prices
of fuels purchased by major power producers
(DESNZ, 2025), converted into 2024 real
prices. The values from 2001 to 2024,
inclusive, were £27bn for gas and £2bn for coal
(real 2024 prices), and even conservative estimates
for gas prices in 2025 (coal prices are now moot)
give a total value of over £30bn for 25years of
offshore wind generation.
2. E.ON decommissions
Blyth offshore wind farm (E.ON, 2019)
3. The analysis used data from DUKES 4.1 Natural
Gas Commodity Balance (DESNZ, 2025) and
DUKES 5.6
Electricity Fuel Use, Generation & Supply
(DESNZ, 2025), to calculate the following for each
year from 2000 to 2024: the percentage share of UK
gas demand that was used for power generation (e.g.
26% in 2024); the amount of UK gas demand that was
met by UK production, assuming no exports (e.g. 344
TWh in 2024); and hence the maximum amount of UK
gas that could have been used for UK power
generation (e.g. 89 TWh in 2024). The
analysis then used the implied efficiency of the
gas power fleet in each year (e.g. 49% in 2024) to
calculate the gas power generation that was fuelled
by UK gas production (e.g. 44 TWh in 2024), and
compared with this the generation from offshore
wind farms (e.g. 49 TWh in 2024), showing the
difference (e.g. 11% in 2024, rounded to 10%).
4. Annual data from DUKES is not yet available for
2025, but Q1 and Q2 were examined using data from
Energy Trends 4.1
Natural Gas Supply & Consumption (DESNZ,
2025) and Energy Trends 5.1
Fuel used in Electricity Generation
(DESNZ, 2025). This shows that the trend
continued in Q1 and Q2 of 2025, with more
electricity being generated by offshore wind than
by gas power plants fuelled by UK gas, albeit by a
smaller margin than in the same part of 2024, and
it is not yet clear how the full-year results will
come out. However, it can be expected that
the result will be seen consistently within a year
or two, as i) offshore wind capacity (and hence
output) rises, reducing gas power generation,
whilst simultaneously ii) UK gas production (and
hence the share of gas power generation that it
fuels) falls much faster than UK gas demand.
5. Analysis of projections suggest that UK gas
production in 2030 without new licences would be
almost 60% lower than in 2024, and 52% lower with
new licences. Production
Projections (NSTA, Nov 2025) – accessed Dec
2025
6. A list of upcoming offshore wind farms can be
extracted from Renewable Energy
Planning Database(DESNZ – updated 19 Nov
2025).
7. Generation from UK offshore wind was just over
400 TWh in the 24.5 years to the end of Q2 2025,
and another c.25 TWh can be expected by the end of
2025. Given that wind power has been
displacing gas and coal power over that time, it
can be assumed that they would have made up the
difference had there been no offshore wind
farms.
8. As above, the analysis assumed that the absence
of offshore wind would have meant more use of gas
and coal power plants, in proportion with their
actual generation levels in each year, based on
data from DUKES 5.6
Electricity Fuel Use, Generation & Supply
(DESNZ, 2025), and that this extra fuel would have
been met by imports. The cumulative extra
imports of gas and steam coal would have reached
10% and 4%, respectively, by the end of 2024.
When it is available, the data for one more year
(2025) will make little difference to these
cumulative percentage figures.
9. The value of extra gas and coal that could have
been imported from Russia in the absence of
offshore wind generation was calculated by applying
Russia's share of actual UK gas and coal imports in
each year, using data from Energy Trends 4.3
Natural Gas Imports (DESNZ, 2025) and Energy Trends 2.4
Coal Imports (DESNZ, 2025), and applying the
price data from QEP 3.2.1 Prices
of fuels purchased by major power producers
(DESNZ, 2025).
10. Generation data for the first 24 years of
offshore wind was taken from DUKES 5.6
Electricity Fuel Use, Generation & Supply
(DESNZ, 2025), showing that offshore wind generated
49 TWh in 2024. For the 25thyear,
data for January to November from Generation by fuel
type, FUELHH (Elexon – accessed 1 Dec 2025)
suggests that wind power overall (offshore and some
onshore, combined) in 2025 is on course to exceed
the 2024 level, which is likely to also be the case
for offshore wind alone i.e. it will generated
around 50 TWh in its 25th year.
For the output of the nuclear power fleet from its
start in 1956, data was taken from Historical
electricity data: 1920 to 2024 (DESNZ, 2025),
showing that it reached just under 50 TWh/yr in its
27th year.
11. Sellafield
Limited (Office of Nuclear Regulation –
accessed Dec 2025)
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