Rachel Reeves is running out of road. Facing a multi-billion-pound
black hole in the public finances, Labour are refusing to rule out
slapping 20 per cent VAT on private hire journeys. A move that
could push up fares for millions of passengers and cost families
hundreds of pounds a year. In written parliamentary answers, the
Treasury twice dodged questions from Richard Holden MP, Shadow
Secretary of State for Transport, refusing to confirm whether a new
VAT charge on...Request free trial
is running out of road.
Facing a multi-billion-pound black hole in the public finances,
Labour are refusing to rule out slapping 20 per cent VAT on
private hire journeys. A move that could push up fares for
millions of passengers and cost families hundreds of pounds a
year.
In written parliamentary answers, the Treasury twice dodged
questions from MP, Shadow Secretary of
State for Transport, refusing to confirm whether a new VAT charge
on private hire fares will be introduced or to assess its impact
on vulnerable users. In last year's Autumn Budget, the Government
already hinted at this move, acknowledging they were
“considering” the introduction of VAT on private hire vehicles.
That consultation has now closed, and ministers have refused to
deny the policy is coming down the track.
Labour's policy would overturn the recent Supreme Court ruling
which confirmed that private hire operators outside London are
not responsible for drivers' VAT. At present, VAT only applies
where an operator is registered and acts as the principal for the
journey. Labour intends to rewrite those rules so that all local
operators are treated as VAT principals, effectively extending 20
per cent VAT to fares that are currently exempt.
This measure, dubbed a “Taxi Tax”, could hit those who rely most
on private hire vehicles, including people in rural areas and
passengers with disabilities. Industry estimates suggest the
change would raise £750 million a year and add around £2 to £3 to
a typical £12 journey, costing frequent users hundreds of pounds
annually.
For many communities, particularly in rural areas, private hire
vehicles are not a luxury but a lifeline. A 20 per cent hike
would price many out of essential journeys, devastate the
night-time economy, and threaten the safety of women and girls
who depend on these services to get home safely.
Local councils, already stretched to breaking point by Labour's
national insurance hike, would also be forced to absorb huge new
costs. Spending on home-to-school transport for children with
special educational needs is projected to reach almost £2 billion
next year, meaning a 20 per cent VAT hike would add £394 million
to council budgets overnight, just on SEND transport
expenditures.
Meanwhile, passengers are already facing higher fares across the
country. Ipswich, Stafford, and Basingstoke councils have
approved tariff increases ranging from 2.5 to 16 per cent this
year on their licensed hackney carriages.
With growth forecasts downgraded by the OBR, OECD and Bank of
England, and senior Labour figures demanding higher spending,
Reeves is now searching for fresh revenue wherever she can find
it. The “Taxi Tax” would be yet another stealth charge to fill
the hole in Labour's dire finances.
Labour must rule out the Taxi Tax.
MP, Shadow Secretary of
State for Transport, said:
“Labour's taxi tax would clobber vulnerable passengers and
working families, while dealing a hammer blow to the night-time
economy. From rural towns to city centres, people who depend on
private hire to get home safely after work or a night out would
be priced off the road entirely.
“Labour refuse to rule this out for a reason because they're
planning it. They're in this position because has no backbone, a weak team
around him, and no plan. Combined with Rachel Reeves'
multi-billion-pound black hole in the public finances, it means
yet another stealth tax to paper over their economic
disasterclass.
“Rachel Reeves has driven the economy into a multi-billion-pound
black hole, and now she's coming for commuters and cab users to
fill it. The meter's running, the bill's rising, and Labour's
driving Britain in the wrong direction. Labour must slam the
breaks and rule the Taxi Tax out now.”
ENDS
Notes to editors:
Labour are preparing to introduce a VAT hike on
private hire taxis:
-
The Department for Transport refused to say whether it
will impose 20% VAT on private hire fares, hiding behind an
“ongoing consultation.” HOLDEN: ‘To ask the
Chancellor of the Exchequer, whether the Government plans to
impose VAT at 20% on all private hire fares.'
TOMLINSON: ‘The Government continues to take this
complex issue very seriously and recognises businesses' need
for certainty. The Government is carefully considering the wide
range of views shared through last year's consultation on the
VAT Treatment of Private Hire Vehicles and will publish a
detailed response soon.' (Hansard, 8 September 2025,
UIN 74444, link).
-
The Department for Transport dodged questions on how a
20% VAT hike would affect vulnerable users.
HOLDEN: ‘To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer, with
reference to her Department's consultation entitled
Consultation on the VAT Treatment of Private Hire Vehicles,
which closed on 8 August 2024, what assessment her Department
has made of the potential impact of applying 20% VAT to private
hire vehicle journeys on vulnerable users.' TOMLINSON:
‘The Government continues to take this complex issue very
seriously and recognises businesses' need for certainty. The
Government is carefully considering the wide range of views
shared through last year's consultation on the VAT Treatment of
Private Hire Vehicles and will publish a detailed response
soon.' (Hansard, 8 September 2025, UIN 74446, link).
-
Imposing VAT on taxi journeys would raise around £750
million. ‘Chancellor is preparing to introduce a
20 per cent VAT charge on taxi fares across the country,
according to industry sources who warn the measure could
generate approximately £750million yearly for government
coffers' (GB News, 21
September 2025, link).
-
The Government acknowledged it was considering VAT on
private hire in the budget. ‘VAT
treatment of private hire vehicles – The government is
considering the responses to the recent consultation on the VAT
treatment of private hire vehicle services, as well as the
impact of the recent Court of Appeal judgment, and will respond
to the consultation in due course.' (HM
Treasury, Autumn Budget 2024, 30 October 2024,
link).
-
In July, the Supreme Court ruled private cab firms are
not responsible for drivers' VAT in Uber attempt to force
regional competitors to charge VAT. ‘On 29 July 2025,
the Supreme Court determined that private-hire operators
outside of London do not form a contractual relationship with
passengers and are therefore exempt from employment taxes. This
means they are also not the principal for VAT purposes. The
case stems from a legal battle initiated by Uber (see history
below) after the Supreme Court ruled in 2021 that its drivers
were classified as workers in London, a decision that affected
the company's tax and employment obligations in the UK. In
2023, Uber successfully secured a High Court declaration
stating that private-hire taxi operators enter into contracts
with passengers. This outcome would have made operators outside
London liable for VAT at 20%. However, the Court of Appeal
overturned the decision in July 2024 after challenges from
private-hire firms Delta Taxis and Veezu. Uber subsequently
escalated the matter to the Supreme Court.' (VATCalc,
29 July 2025, link).
-
VAT only applies where an operator is registered and
acts as the principal for the journey. ‘VAT is only
due on the fares payable by the customers if the driver is
registered for VAT. If the drivers are not registered for VAT,
you must not charge VAT or issue a VAT invoice on their behalf
for the customers' fares.' (HM Revenue & Customs,
19 September 2025, link).
Local Councils have been facing budget-crippling
bills from use of taxis:
-
Spending by councils on home to school transport for
children with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND)
is predicted to reach nearly £2 billion for 2025-26.
‘Research for the LGA by the Isos Partnership found total SEND
transport expenditure for 2023/24 was £1,733,513,195 – up from
£644,757,072 in 2015/16. However, based on survey returns, this
is projected to be around £1.97 billion in 2025/26.' (Local
Government Association, Council spending on SEND home to
school transport soars – new LGA research, 2 July 2025,
link).
-
A 20 per cent VAT hike on this provision would
increase SEND transport expenditures for Local Authorities by
£394 million. If the projected £1.97 billion SEND
transport expenditure for 2025-26 were to increase by 20 per
cent due to the Taxi Tax, it would take the projection to
£2.364 billion, which is an increase of £394 million.
(CRD Analysis, 9 October 2025, available on
request).
-
The Local Government Association has estimated that
Labour's National Insurance contribution hike will cost local
government £1.8 billion. The Local Government
Association (LGA) responded to analysis by the Association of
Directors of Adult Social Services which found National
Insurance and National Living Wage increases will add an extra
£1.8 billion to local councils bill for commissioning care and
support. Councillor David Fothergill, social care spokesperson
for the LGA, said that ‘Councils are facing unprecedented
financial challenges, with the increases to employer National
Insurance Contributions likely to add significant costs for
councils and the wider sector. These pressures, compounded by
inflation, demography and National Living Wage rises, are
putting vital services at significant risk of collapse'
(Local Government Association, 27 November 2024,
link).
Across the country, hackney carriage tariffs are
already being increased:
-
Ipswich Borough Council have increased taxi
fares. ‘Ipswich Borough Council has approved a 2.55%
increase in hackney carriage fares, bringing the cost of a
two-mile daytime journey to £8.00 from November.'
(Ipswich.co.uk, 1 October 2025, link).
-
Stafford Borough Council are set to increase taxi
fares. Proposals have set out a 90p increase to the
current £3.10 starting rate in vehicles carrying up to four
people. (BBC News, 14 July 2025, link).
-
Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council increased taxi
fares by up to 16 per cent. After the Cabinet of
Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council approved a proposal, ‘the
highest rate of change includes a 16 per cent increase for a
five-mile journey'. (The Basingstoke Gazette, 8
January 2025, link).
The fiscal outlook has deteriorated, creating a black
hole in the public finances and leaving under acute
pressure:
-
Major forecasters – including the OBR, OECD, and Bank
of England – have downgraded the UK's growth forecasts, raising
the prospect of another downgrade in the Autumn. This
year, the OBR, OECD and the Bank of England have all downgraded
the UK's growth forecasts (OBR, Economic and Fiscal
Outlook, 26 March 2025, link; The
Financial Times, 6 February 2025, link;
MoneyWeek, 3 June 2025, link).
-
Paul Johnson, then Director of the Institute for
Fiscal Studies (IFS), said any downgrade in the OBR forecasts
ahead of the Autumn Budget will ‘almost certainty spark more
tax rises'. JOHNSON: ‘Ms Reeves is now
going to have all her fingers and all her toes crossed,
hoping that the OBR will not be downgrading their forecasts
in the Autumn. With spending plans set, and ‘ironclad' fiscal
rules being met by gnat's whisker, any move in the wrong
direction will almost certainly spark more tax rises' (Steven
Swinford, Twitter, 12 June 2025, link).
-
Senior economists – including Andrew Bailey, governor
of the Bank of England – expect productivity forecasts to also
be downgraded in the Autumn. BAILEY: ‘If you were to
take what I would loosely call the OBR story, I think you would
more say it was a financial crisis and that [the] effect will
wear off. I am a bit sceptical about that' (The Financial
Times, 24 June 2025, link).
Compounding the fiscal challenge, Reeves faces rising
demands from her party for higher spending – making tax rises
inevitable:
-
Senior Labour figures – including Andy and – are piling pressure on
to prioritise spending over
fiscal credibility. In a thinly veiled challenge to
Starmer's leadership, Burnham set out his ‘vision for Britain',
including £40 billion of extra borrowing to build council
houses, rejecting Reeves approach of ‘being in hock to the bond
markets'. This followed calls from former Transport Secretary
for a ‘decisive break with
the fiscal rules' to ensure the Government ‘remake Britain'
(The Financial Times, 24 September 2025, link; The New
Statesman, 8 September 2025, link).
-
Additionally, senior Labour figures – including deputy
leadership contender – have joined the chorus
demanding the removal of the two-child benefit cap, despite the
£3.5 billion annual cost. has openly called for the cap
to be scrapped, echoing interventions from Rachel Maskell and
Dianne Abbott among others, while branded the policy
‘spiteful' and said removing it is ‘on the table'. On 24
September, The Times reported that Starmer will be
told by the Child Poverty Taskforce that scrapping the cap is
the single most effective way to reduce child poverty – despite
the Resolution Foundation estimating the policy would cost £3.5
billion a year (The Times, 24 September 2025, link; BBC
News, 19 September 2025, link; The Sun, 17
September 2025, link; The Resolution
Foundation, Press Release, 12 May 2025, link).
Labour voted against protecting women and girls on
buses
-
Labour and Liberal Democrat peers voted against
measures to prevent violence against women and girls on
buses. 125 Labour peers and 43 Liberal Democrat peers
voted against an amendment, tabled by (Conservative), to properly
monitor assault and violence on buses, showing their
complacency on violence against women and girls (Hansard,
Division 3, 13 October 2025, link).
-
Conservative peers previously amended the Bill to
deliver measures to prevent violence against women and
girls on buses. 152 Conservative peers
successfully voted to amend the Bus Services (No.2)
Bill to require bus operators to record all incidents of
violence against on their buses, including against women and
girls, showing only Conservatives are serious about reducing
the rates of violent crime against women (Hansard, Division 3,
13 October 2025, link).
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