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UK must leverage its partnership with the US to ensure
Western technological supremacy over China
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Government must drive forward negotiations to de-risk
the threat of future tariffs, match preferential EU terms, lock
in agreed tariff reductions and expand
co-operation
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Final deal must be open to full democratic scrutiny in
Parliament
In a report today the Commons Business and Trade Committee says
President Trump's State Visit is the moment to maximise pressure
on the United States to agree final terms of a full Economic
Prosperity Deal that will end sectoral uncertainty, secure
critical supply chains and drive investment into the UK.
The United States is the UK's largest single trading partner,
representing 18% of total UK trade, worth £315 billion in 2024.
Of that, UK exports to the US were £196 billion, about 2% of
national income. The two countries have fully £1.2 trillion
invested in each other's economies.
President Trump's second term has been characterised by the
expansion of US trade policy to advance strategic and security
objectives. Against this challenging backdrop, on 8 May 2025 the
UK became the first country to reach an agreement since Trump's
“liberation day” tariffs. This is an important win, but the UK is
still trading with the US on worse terms than before, and in some
cases on worse terms than the EU's later deal.
The EPD is a non-binding political framework, not a free trade
agreement. Under it, UK exporters have reduced some of the tariff
exposure:
- Automotive reduced from 25% to 10% - but subject to a
100,000-vehicle quota, with uncertainty over the allocation of
quota among UK auto manufacturers
- Aerospace exports returned from 10% back to 0%.
- To achieve these reductions, the UK removed 20% agricultural
tariff in beef and ethanol (also both subject to quotas)
But some commitments remain under discussion. The Committee says
the Government must maximise pressure on the US to minimise
tariffs for UK steel and aluminium producers, and work to ensure
that any final agreement reflects the realities of UK supply
chains and the sector's transition to low-carbon production. The
tariff conditions on pharmaceuticals are also still uncertain
amid tense negotiations over trans-Atlantic drug
pricing.
The UK should treat the EPD not just as a trade agreement, but as
part of the UK's wider foreign, economic, and industrial strategy
– integrating economic engagement into the broader geopolitical
dialogue to minimise the risks of ad hoc, zero-sum bargaining
with a far larger partner.
In particular, the UK must leverage the US partnership to ensure
Western leadership over China in the race for technological
supremacy—particularly in AI and defence tech, de-risked supply
chains, and greater security for supplies of critical
minerals.
The Committee urges Government to use its new Industrial Strategy
Council to convene business, industry, and research partners to
shape a ‘mission-led' vision, for deeper UK–US trade cooperation
and innovation leadership. The Trade Remedy Authority needs
reform to ensure it moves at the same speed as the EU on defences
against products being diverted into the UK market.
Whenever the Government makes substantive trade commitments, in
whatever form, the Committee demands they are subject to full
parliamentary scrutiny.
Rt Hon MP, Chair of the Committee,
said: “President Trump's State Visit is no mere
pageant. It is a test of whether Britain and America build a
safer, richer future - or remain trapped in tariff fights that
serve neither nation well. Sir deserves credit for securing
the Economic Prosperity Deal. But we can't escape the truth that
Britain now trades with its biggest partner on terms than are
worse than the past, the EU has in places secured a better edge,
and key sectors of our economy still face the peril of new
tariffs. That means jobs hang in the balance and investment waits
on certainty.
“That is why the State Visit must deliver more than ceremony.
There is a great prize for us to seize. Britain's science, AI and
the City of London, joined with America's tech giants and venture
markets, could set the standards of this century and help secure
Western leadership over China for decades to come. But that means
we have got to turn paper promises into a binding bargain that
ends the tariff tempest that is battering British exporters and
investors.”
The Committee was disappointed that the Government was unable to
provide support to the bioethanol industry to prevent the closure
of the Vivergo plant - already making a substantial impact on
domestic production capacity.