Economy turning a corner, with inflation expected to fall to target
next quarter, wages consistently rising faster than prices and
better growth than European neighbours. Chancellor capitalises on
progress with ‘Budget for Long Term Growth’, sticking to the plan
by putting over £900 a year back into the average worker’s pocket
thanks to changes at Autumn Statement and a second Employee
National Insurance tax cut from 10% to 8% in April for 27 million
working people....Request free trial
- Economy turning a corner, with inflation expected to fall to
target next quarter, wages consistently rising faster than prices
and better growth than European neighbours.
- Chancellor capitalises on progress with ‘Budget for Long Term
Growth’, sticking to the plan by putting over £900 a year back
into the average worker’s pocket thanks to changes at Autumn
Statement and a second Employee National Insurance tax cut from
10% to 8% in April for 27 million working people.
- 2 million self-employed also get a second tax cut through a
further 2p reduction in the NICs main rate from 8% to 6% - saving
the average self-employed worker £650 when combined with cuts at
Autumn Statement.
- Personal tax cuts since Autumn are worth £20 billion, slashes
the effective personal tax rate for an average earner to its
lowest level since 1975, and will lead to equivalent of 200,000
more full time workers joining the labour market.
- High Income Child Benefit Charge to be assessed on a
household-basis by April 2026, and immediate support for working
families by increasing the threshold to £60,000 and halving the
rate at which Child Benefit is repaid – representing a £1,260
boost on average for around half a million working families.
- The NHS in England will receive a £2.5 billion day-to-day
funding boost for 2024/25 and £3.4 billion in capital investment
over the forecast period to help unlock £35 billion in
productivity savings over the next Parliament by harnessing new
technology like AI and cutting admin workloads - part of landmark
Public Sector Productivity Plan to deliver better public
services.
- The average car driver will save £50 this year as the 5p cut
and freeze to fuel duty is maintained until March 2025, while
pubs, breweries and distilleries will benefit from a further
freeze to alcohol duty until February 2025 – which will also save
consumers money on their favourite tipple.
- New tax reliefs and investments will help establish the UK as
a world leader in high-growth industries such as the creative
sector, advanced manufacturing and life sciences, while 28,000
SMEs will be taken out of VAT registration altogether –
encouraging them to invest and grow.
- ‘Budget for Long Term Growth’ sticks to the plan by
delivering lower taxes, better public services and more
investment, while increasing size of economy by 0.2% in 2028-29
and meeting fiscal rules – taking the long-term decisions needed
to build a brighter future.
More tax cuts for working people, more investment and a plan for
better public services headlined Chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s ‘Budget
for Long Term Growth’ today, Wednesday 6 March.
With the independent Office for Budget Responsibility
(OBR)
confirming inflation is set to fall to target a year earlier than
previously expected, wages rising consistently and the economy
outperforming European neighbours, the Chancellor said he would
stick to the plan to improve living standards by rewarding work
and growing the economy.
Building on the 2 percentage point cut to Employee National
Insurance at Autumn Statement, Mr Hunt announced a second 2p cut
from 10% to 8% from April. Taken together with the cut to
Employee National Insurance at Autumn Statement, this slashes the
main rate of Employee NICs by a third and means the average
worker earning £35,400 a year will be over £900 better off this
year.
The Chancellor also went further with tax cuts for the
self-employed, having reduced Class 4 NICs from 9% to 8% and
abolished the requirement to pay Class 2 NICs at Autumn
Statement. Today he announced a further 2p cut to Class 4 NICs
for the self-employed to 6%, meaning the average worker earning
£28,000 will be £650 better off compared with last year.
Combined with changes at Autumn Statement, today’s announcements
deliver personal tax cuts worth £20 billion and reduce the
effective personal tax rate for a median earner to its lowest
level since 1975. The OBR says these
reductions will lead to the equivalent of around 200,000 extra
full-time workers by 2028/29, as people increase their working
hours and move into work. This boost is why the Chancellor has
prioritised NICs cuts in his ‘Budget for Long Term Growth’ and
why he will continue to do so when fiscally responsible. He set
out that his long-term ambition is to end the unfairness of
double taxation of work.
Mr Hunt also announced that the High Income Child Benefit Charge
will be assessed on a household basis by April 2026, with a
consultation to come on achieving this.
To ensure working families benefit from increasing their earnings
before this change is made, the threshold to start paying back
Child Benefit will increase in April from £50,000 to £60,000 – a
20% increase which will take 170,000 families out of paying the
charge this year – while Child Benefit will no longer need to be
repaid in full until earnings exceed £80,000. This represents a
£1,260 boost on average for around half a million working
families, rising to nearly £5,000 for some families when combined
with tax cuts since Autumn Statement. This will put an end to the
current unfairness, where two parents earning £49,000 a year
receive the full Child Benefit while a household with a single
earner on over £50,000 does not. The OBR says the immediate
changes to the HICBC will lead to an increase in hours worked
equivalent to around 10,000 more people entering the workforce on
a full-time basis.
The Chancellor also announced a landmark Public Sector
Productivity Plan which marks the first step towards returning
public sector productivity back to pre-pandemic levels and will
ensure taxpayers’ money is spent as efficiently as possible.
OBR
analysis suggests that raising public sector productivity by just
5% would deliver up to £20 billion of benefits a
year.
Backed by £4.2 billion in funding, the plan will allow public
services to invest in new technologies like AI, replace outdated
IT systems, free up frontline workers from time-consuming admin
tasks and take action to reduce costs down the line. The NHS will
receive £3.4 billion as part of this over the forecast period -
doubling investment in digital transformation, significantly
reducing the 13 million hours lost by doctors every year because
of old IT and delivering test results faster for 130,000 patients
a year thanks to AI-fitted MRI scanners that help doctors read
results more quickly and accurately. This investment, which comes
alongside an extra £2.5 billion cash injection for 2024/25 to
support the NHS improve performance and reduce waiting times,
means the NHS can commit to delivering £35 billion in
productivity savings over the next Parliament, while the £800
million to boost productivity across other public services will
deliver an extra £1.8 billion in productivity benefits by
2029.
New tax breaks and investments will help to establish the UK as a
world-leader in high-growth industries. The UK’s creative
industries will be backed by over £1 billion, including higher
tax reliefs to lower the cost of producing visual effects in
high-end TV and film, a 40% relief on gross business rates until
2034 will be introduced for eligible film studios, and a new tax
credit for independent British films with a budget of less than
£15 million. Orchestras, museums, galleries and theatres will
also benefit from a permanent 45% tax relief for touring
productions and 40% relief for non-touring productions, while £26
million will fund maintenance and repairs at the National
Theatre.
A £360 million package will support innovative R&D and
manufacturing projects across the life sciences, automotive and
aerospace sectors – with a further £45 million funding to
accelerate medical research into common diseases like cancer,
dementia and epilepsy – while the Green Industries Growth
Accelerator will be allocated an extra £120 million to build
supply chains for offshore wind and carbon capture and
storage.
Opportunity will be spread across the country with hundreds of
millions in funding to extend the Long Term Plans for Towns to 20
new places and a swathe of cultural projects, while local leaders
will also be empowered to improve their communities through more
devolved powers and a new North-East trailblazer devolution deal
which comes with a funding package potentially worth over £100
million to support the region’s growth ambitions.
The Chancellor also took steps to make the tax system simpler and
fairer. The ‘non-dom’ tax regime will be abolished and replaced
with a fairer system from April 2025 where new arrivals to the UK
pay the same tax as everyone else after four years – raising £2.7
billion a year by 2028/29. As the oil and gas sector’s windfall
profits from higher prices are expected to last longer, the
sunset clause on the Energy Profits Levy will be extended by a
year to March 2029, raising £1.5 billion while encouraging
investment in the UK’s energy security by promising to legislate
for its abolition should market prices fall to their historic
norm sooner than expected.
Accompanying forecasts by the OBR confirm that the
combined impact of decisions taken at Spring Budget and the
preceding two fiscal events will increase the size of the economy
by 0.7% and increase total hours worked by the equivalent of
300,000 full-time workers by 2028-29 - with the combined
impact of government policy since Autumn Statement 2022 reducing
the tax burden in the final year of the forecast by 0.6%. Today’s
announcements will reduce inflation in 2024/25, bring the
equivalent of over 100,000 people into the workforce by 2028-29
and permanently grow the economy by 0.2% - with borrowing falling
in every year of the forecast.
Lower taxes
With the economy turning a corner and debt on track to fall as a
share of GDP, the Chancellor delivered further tax cuts for
working people – rewarding work, boosting growth and helping
families with the cost of living.
- Following a 2 percentage point cut in the Autumn Statement,
the main rate of Employee National Insurance will be cut again by
a further 2 percentage points from 10% to 8% in April – a one
third reduction in the main rate of National Insurance which
means the average worker on £35,400 will receive a tax cut of
over £900 compared to last year.
- Following a 1 percentage point cut in the Autumn Statement,
the main rate of Class 4 NICs for the self-employed will be cut
by a further 2 percentage points from 8% to 6% from April -
saving the average self-employed person on £28,000 over £650
compared to last year when combined with scrapping the
requirement to pay Class 2 NICs announced at Autumn Statement.
- Personal tax cuts worth £20 billion delivered since Autumn,
which reduces the effective personal tax rate for a median earner
to its lowest level since 1975.
- High Income Child Benefit Charge (HICBC) will be administered
on a household rather than an individual basis by April 2026,
with a consultation in due course, while around half a million
working families will benefit from an increase in the threshold
from £50,000 to £60,000 and raising the level at which Child
Benefit is fully repaid to £80,000 – worth £1260 per family on
average.
-
OBR says
combined changes to NICs will lead to the equivalent of around
200,000 new full-time workers joining the labour market by
2028-29 as people increase working hours and move into work,
while confirmed changes to the HICBC will bring in the
equivalent of an additional 10,000 full-time workers.
- The main rates of fuel duty will be frozen again until March
2025 with the temporary 5p cut also extended, saving car drivers
around £50 this year and £250 since the 5p cut was introduced – a
£5 billion tax cut.
- The six-month alcohol duty freeze announced at Autumn
Statement will be extended until 1 February 2025, saving
consumers 2p on a pint of beer, 1p on a pint of cider, 10p on a
bottle of wine and 33p on a bottle of spirit compared to if the
planned rise had gone ahead. This will benefit 38,000 pubs across
the UK, while reducing inflation this year.
- The higher rate of Capital Gains Tax (CGT) on property will be cut from 28%
to 24% from April 2024 – firing up the residential property
market and supporting thousands of jobs that rely on it.
- Building on the single biggest investment in childcare in
English history, nurseries and preschools will be protected from
rising costs through a guarantee that future funding will rise
with a combination of inflation, earnings and the National Living
Wage – certainty the sector needs to expand and deliver the
rollout, which will save some parents using the full 30 hours up
to £6,500 a year.
- The most vulnerable families will receive targeted support
through a £500 million extension to the Household Support Fund
for an extra 6 months to September 2024, helping local
authorities to support people with the cost of essentials, as
well as abolishing the £90 fee for Debt Relief Orders so
households struggling with problem debts can get the help they
need, and extending the maximum period for Universal Credit
budgeting advances from 12 to 24 months.
Better public services
While growth is key to delivering high-quality public services,
the Chancellor backed the NHS with more funding and outlined the
first steps towards getting public sector productivity back to
pre-pandemic levels.
- Day-to-day public spending will increase by 1% higher than
inflation on average over the next parliament, as Chancellor
confirms spending levels will not be cut.
- The Public Sector Productivity Plan announced today with a
£4.2 billion investment will improve public service delivery and
get better value for taxpayers’ money through better tech,
freeing frontline workers from time-consuming admin and making
earlier interventions to reduce costs later down the line.
- The NHS will receive an additional £3.4 billion as part of
this to invest in new tech and digital transformation, including
making the NHS app a single front door for patients, piloting new
AI to halve form-filling times for doctors, rolling out universal
electronic patient records, and over one hundred upgraded
AI-fitted scanners so doctors can read MRI scans more accurately
and quickly. This improves patient care and helps unlock £35
billion in productivity savings by 2030.
- This means the NHS can commit to raising productivity in the
NHS to 2% on average by 2028-29, at the upper end of the 1.5-2%
ambition in the Long Term Workforce Plan – delivering a health
service fit for the future. The NHS also gets a £2.5 billion
funding boost for 2024/25.
- £800 million will be invested to boost productivity across
other public services, including £230 million for drones and new
technology like facial recognition which will free up police
officers’ time for more frontline work and £75 million to roll
out the highly successful Violence Reduction Unit model across
England and Wales.
- This investment in non-NHS public services will help deliver
up to £1.8 billion of benefits by 2029, with further measures
including digitising jury bundles to free up 55,000 working hours
spent on admin, creating 200 new children’s social care place to
tackle overspends, and expanding the use of AI across government
to make it easier to spot and catch those who try to defraud the
public purse.
- Defence spending is expected to hit 2.3% of GDP next year
after £11 billion investment announced at Spring Budget 2023.
More investment
Building on recent investments in the UK by Google, Nissan and
Microsoft, Mr Hunt announced exciting new investments in key
growth sectors and set out plans to support businesses of all
sizes to grow.
- Significant package of support to establish the UK as a world
leader in fast-growing industries over the next five years,
including over £1 billion in new tax reliefs for creative
industries, £270 million in automotive and aerospace R&D
projects focusing, and a £120 million top up for the Green
Industries Growth Accelerator to help build supply chains for
offshore wind and carbon capture and storage.
- £45 million will fund medical research to develop new
medicines for diseases like cancer, dementia and epilepsy, and
the UK’s ability to manufacture them will be boosted by plans for
a £650 million AstraZeneca investment to build a new vaccine
manufacturing hub in Liverpool and expand their footprint in
Cambridge - thanks to government support for the life sciences
sector.
- Opportunity will be spread across the country with hundreds
of millions in funding to extend the Long Term Plans for Towns to
20 new places, over £240 million to build nearly 8,000 homes in
Barking Riverside and Canary Wharf alongside a new life sciences
hub, and a new £160 million deal to acquire two site to develop
nuclear for our energy security.
- Local leaders will be empowered, with a new North-East
trailblazer devolution deal which comes with a funding package
potentially worth over £100 million in support for the region,
and powers devolved to Buckinghamshire, Warwickshire and Surrey.
- Draft legislation will be published within weeks to extend
full expensing – a £10 billion tax cut for business every year to
help them invest for less – to leased assets when affordable to
do so, strengthening one of the most attractive capital allowance
regimes of any major country.
- SMEs will be supported to invest and grow through a £200
million extension of the Growth Guarantee Fund, helping 11,000
small businesses to access the finance they need, and an increase
in the VAT registration threshold from £85,000 to £90,000 which
will take around 28,000 small businesses out of paying VAT
altogether.
- Pensions and savings reforms, including the introduction of a
new UK ISA allowing an additional £5,000 annual investment in UK
equities tax-free and new British Savings Bonds offering savers a
guaranteed rate for 3 years, will deliver better returns for
savers.
Sustainable public finances
The ‘Budget for Long Term Growth’ delivers lower taxes, better
public services and more investment in a responsible way, the
OBR
confirming the Chancellor’s fiscal rules are on track to be
met.
- Underlying debt will fall as a share of the economy to 92.9%
in 2028/29 - meeting the debt rule with £8.9 billion headroom.
Headline debt will fall as a percentage of GDP every year from
2024/25.
- Public sector borrowing falls in every year of the forecast.
The deficit will be 2.7% of GDP in 2025-26 – meeting the second
fiscal rule to get borrowing below 3% of GDP three years early -
and by 2028-29 it falls to 1.2% of GDP, which is the lowest level
since 2001-02.
- Measures to tackle the tax gap will bring in an additional
£4.5 billion a year by 2028/29, saving nearly £10 billion for the
public purse when combined with policies announced at Autumn
Statement.
- The ‘non-dom’ regime will be replaced by a simpler system
where arrivals have access to a more generous scheme for their
first four years of tax residency before paying tax in the same
way as everyone else, raising £2.7 billion a year by 2028/29
without deterring investment.
- The Energy Profits Levy sunset clause will be extended from
March 2028 to March 2029 to raise £1.5 billion a year, but
legislation in the Finance Bill will abolish the Levy if market
prices fall to their historic norm sooner than expected –
maintaining investment in our energy security.
- A duty on vapes will be introduced from October 2026 to
protect young people and children from the harm of vaping,
alongside a one-off increase in tobacco duty to recognise the
role vapes play in helping people to quit smoking. This will
raise a combined £1.3 billion by 2028/29.
- Multiple Dwellings Relief will be abolished from June after
showing no evidence of promoting investment in the private rented
sector - raising £385 million a year – and the Furnished Holiday
Lettings tax regime will be abolished from April 2025, raising
£245 million a year while making it easier for local people to
find a home in their community.
Further information
- The Chancellor’s speech can be found later this afternoon
here.
- Other documents published alongside the Autumn Statement
today can be found here.
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