Earlier today, the Supreme Court delivered its judgment on the Lord
Advocate’s reference, seeking clarity on whether or not the
Scotland Act 1998 allows the Scottish Parliament to legislate for a
referendum on independence. First of all - while I am obviously
very disappointed by it - I respect and accept the judgment of the
Court. In securing Scotland’s independence we will always be guided
by a commitment to democracy and respect for the rule of law.
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Earlier today, the Supreme Court delivered its judgment on the
Lord Advocate’s reference, seeking clarity on whether or not the
Scotland Act 1998 allows the Scottish Parliament to legislate for
a referendum on independence.
First of all - while I am obviously very disappointed by it - I
respect and accept the judgment of the Court.
In securing Scotland’s independence we will always be guided by a
commitment to democracy and respect for the rule of law.
That principle also reflects a practical reality - the route we
take must be lawful and democratic for independence to be
achieved.
And as is becoming clearer by the day, achieving independence is
not just desirable - it is essential if Scotland is to escape the
disaster of Brexit, the damage of policies imposed by governments
we don’t vote for, and the low growth, high inequality economic
model that is holding us back.
However, we must be clear today that the Supreme Court does not
make the law - it interprets and applies it.
If the devolution settlement in the Scotland Act is inconsistent
with any reasonable notion of Scottish democracy - as is now
confirmed to be the case - that is the fault of Westminster
lawmakers, not the justices of the Supreme Court.
In addressing the implications of today’s ruling, it is also
important to be mindful of what the Court was not asked to decide
and therefore what the ruling does not tell us.
The Court was not asked to decide if there is a democratic
mandate for a referendum.
The mandate and parliamentary majority for a referendum is
undeniable.
Nor was the Court asked if Scotland should be independent. Only
the Scottish people can be the judge of that.
And it was not asked if there
is any democratic means by which Scotland can
choose independence.
The question the Court was asked to decide - the only question
the court could reasonably answer - was a narrower one.
Would a Bill providing for an advisory referendum on independence
be within the current powers of the Scottish Parliament?
In other words, can the Scottish Parliament legislate for an
independence referendum without the prior agreement of
Westminster?
The Court has answered that question in the negative.
It has determined that under the Scotland Act 1998 - which
encapsulates the current devolution settlement - even an advisory
referendum asking the question “Should Scotland be an independent
country?’ is a matter reserved to the Westminster Parliament.
What that means is that without an agreement between the Scottish
and UK governments for either a section 30 Order or a UK Act of
Parliament to change its powers, the Scottish Parliament cannot
legislate for the referendum the people of Scotland have
instructed it to deliver.
That is a hard pill for any supporter of independence - and
surely indeed for any supporter of democracy - to swallow.
However, as I said back in June when I informed Parliament that
the Lord Advocate had agreed to make this reference, it was
always the case that in the absence of an agreement with the UK
government, the question of the Scottish Parliament’s competence
in relation to a referendum would end up in the Supreme Court -
if not before legislation then certainly after any decision by
Parliament to pass a Bill.
So while it is a statement of the obvious that this is not the
outcome I hoped for, it does give us clarity.
And having that clarity sooner rather than later allows us now to
plan a way a forward, however imperfect it might be.
Now, I am enough of a realist to know that the immediate
questions posed by today’s judgment will be for me and the
SNP.
I am also long enough in the political tooth to expect some
triumphalism on the part of unionist politicians.
However, unionists of a more thoughtful disposition will, I
suspect, know that to be misguided.
Indeed, they will have been hoping that the Court - as the UK
government asked it to do - would have declined to answer the
substantive question today.
That is because they will understand that this judgment raises
profound and deeply uncomfortable questions about
thebasis and future of the United Kingdom.
Until now, it has been understood and accepted - by opponents of
independence as well as by its supporters - that the UK is a
voluntary partnership of nations.
The Royal Commission on Scottish Affairs back in 1950 said this:
“Scotland is a nation and voluntarily entered into the Union as a
partner”.
That sentiment was echoed nearly 60 years later by the
cross-party Calman Commission which described the UK as “a
voluntary union and partnership”.
And it was reinforced in 2014 by the Smith Commission which made
clear that "nothing in its report prevented Scotland becoming an
independent country should the people of Scotland so choose”.
What today’s ruling tells us, however, is that the Scotland Act
does not in fact uphold that long held understanding of the basis
of the relationships that constitute the UK - on the contrary, it
shatters that understanding completely.
Let’s be blunt: a so-called partnership in which one partner is
denied the right to choose a different future - or even to ask
itself the question —cannot be described in any way as voluntary
or even a partnership at all.
So this ruling confirms that the notion of the UK as a voluntary
partnership of nations is no longer, if it ever was, a
reality.
And that exposes a situation that is quite simply
unsustainable.
In the words of former Tory Prime Minister, John Major:
“No nation could be held irrevocably in a Union against its
will”.
Indeed, perhaps what today’s judgment confirms more than anything
else, is that the only guarantee for Scotland of equality within
the British family of nations is through independence - that fact
is now clearer than ever before.
The immediate question, of course, is what happens now.
Obviously, I am making these remarks just a couple of hours after
the Court issued its judgment.
While the terms and import of the judgment are clear it will
still be important to absorb and consider it fully. I think it is
safe to predict that this will not be my last word on the
matter.
However, my initial views - building on what I said in June - are
as follows.
First of all, it is worth repeating that the Court judgment
relates to one possible route to Scotland making a choice on
independence - a referendum Bill in the Scottish Parliament
without Westminster agreement.
While it is absolutely the case - if the UK was a voluntary
partnership - that this would not be needed, it remains open to
the UK government, however belatedly, to accept democracy and
reach agreement.
I make clear again today, therefore, that I stand ready at any
time to reach agreement with the Prime Minister on an adjustment
to the devolution settlement that enables a lawful, democratic
referendum to take place - a process that respects the right of
people in Scotland to choose their future, in line with the
mandate of the Scottish Parliament, lets politicians make the
case for and against independence and, crucially, allows the
Scottish people to decide.
What I will not do is go cap in hand.
My expectation, in the short term at least, is that the UK
government will maintain its position of democracy
denial.
That position is, in my view, not just unsustainable - it is also
utterly self-defeating.
The more contempt the Westminster establishment shows for
Scottish democracy, the more certain it is that Scotland will
vote Yes when the choice does come to be made.
As for that choice - and for the avoidance of any doubt - I
believe today, just as I did yesterday, that a referendum is the
best way to determine the issue of independence.
The fact is, the SNP is not abandoning the referendum
route.
Westminster is blocking it.
And in that scenario, unless we give up on democracy - which I,
for one, am not prepared to do - we must and will find another
democratic, lawful and constitutional means by which the Scottish
people can express their will.
In my view, that can only be an election.
The next national election scheduled for Scotland is the UK
General Election, making it both the first and the most obvious
opportunity to seek what I described back in June as a de facto
referendum.
As with any proposition in any party manifesto in any election,
it is up to the people how they respond. No party can dictate the
basis on which people cast their votes.
But a party can be - indeed should be - crystal clear about the
purpose for which it is seeking popular support.
In this case, for the SNP, it will be to establish - just as in a
referendum - majority support in Scotland for independence, so
that we can then achieve independence.
That, then, is the principle.
However, now that the Supreme Court’s ruling is known, and a de
facto referendum is no longer hypothetical, it is necessary to
agree the precise detail of the proposition we intend to put
before the country - for example, the form our manifesto will
take, the question we will pose, how we will seek to build
support above and beyond the SNP, and what steps we will take to
achieve independence if we win.
As you would expect, I have views on all of that.
However, given the magnitude of these decisions for the SNP, the
process of reaching them is one that the party as a whole must be
fully and actively involved in.
I can therefore confirm that I will be asking our National
Executive Committee to convene a special party conference in the
new year to discuss and agree the detail of a proposed de facto
referendum.
In the meantime, the SNP will launch and mobilise a major
campaign in defence of Scottish democracy.
For we should be in no doubt - as of today, democracy is what is
at stake.
This is no longer just about whether or not Scotland becomes
independent - vital though that decision is.
It is now more fundamental - it is now about whether or not we
have the basic democratic right to choose our own
future.
Indeed, from today, the independence movement is as much about
democracy as it is about independence.
To conclude, I am well aware that there will be a real sense of
frustration and disappointment today in both the SNP and the
wider movement. I share it.
My message, though, is this: while that is understandable, it
must be short lived.
And I believe it will be.
Indeed, I suspect we will start to see just how short lived in
the strength of the gatherings planned for later today in
Edinburgh and other parts of Scotland.
The fact is we have work to do.
The case for Scotland becoming independent is more compelling and
urgent than ever.
Independence is now essential because of what Westminster control
means, on a day-to-day basis, for people in this country, and for
future generations.
Thanks to Westminster control, the UK economy is in
crisis - and we are entering a new age of Tory
austerity.
Low-income households in the UK are now 22 per cent poorer than
their counterparts in France, and 21 per cent poorer than in
Germany.
To put that in context - it means the living standards of the
lowest-income households in the UK are £3,800 lower than their
French equivalents.
Thanks to Westminster control, we are subject to an immigration
and asylum system that neither works in practice, nor serves our
need to grow our population.
It mistreats those who come to our shores looking for sanctuary
from oppression, and deprives us of the talents and taxes of
those who want to live, work and contribute to our
country.
Thanks to Westminster control, even the limited measure of
self-government that devolution provides is no longer
guaranteed.
The steady erosion of the powers of our Parliament, the
undermining of the Sewel Convention, the imposition of the UK
Internal Market Act, and now the Retained EU law Bill.
And if we stick with Westminster control we are stuck outside the
European Union permanently.
And that comes at a heavy cost.
According to the Office for Budget Responsibility, Brexit will
mean in the long-run a fall in national income of 4 per cent
compared with EU membership.
That is equivalent to a cut in public revenues in Scotland of
£3.2 billion.
All the main Westminster parties now support a Brexit that
Scotland did not vote for.
And the Brexit conspiracy of silence that exists between them
means the UK economy will become weaker, and people will pay a
heavier and heavier price.
That price will be paid in hard economic terms - but also in the
narrowing of horizons and loss of opportunities for the
generations to come.
Scotland can do better than this.
The example of independent countries across Europe and the world,
many with nowhere near the assets and strengths we have, tells us
that loudly and clearly.
We hear from Westminster that what is needed is stability.
But let’s be clear - the Westminster system has shown that it is
not capable of securing stability.
The people relying on food banks are not being offered
stability.
Those across our country afraid to switch on their heating are
not being offered stability.
The businesses struggling with Brexit are not being offered
stability.
The young people denied the rights and opportunities of EU
membership are not being offered stability.
A UK economic model which delivers low growth and low
productivity coupled with sky high rates of poverty and
inequality does not, and never will offer stability.
Scotland can do so much better.
So, yes, of course, this judgment is a disappointment. But it is
not one we can or will wallow in.
Indeed, getting the judgment now rather than later gives us the
clarity we need to plot a definite way forward.
Fundamentally, our job today is the same as it was
yesterday.
It is to persuade a majority of the Scottish people of the fact
that independence is the best future for Scotland - and ensure a
democratic process that allows majority support to be established
beyond doubt.
That job is not easy, I know - on some days, like today perhaps,
it feels more difficult than ever. But nothing - nothing - worth
doing is ever easy.
There is no doubt in my mind that independence will be worth
it.
And my resolve to achieve independence is as strong as it has
ever been. Indeed, it is if anything even stronger.
Prosperity, equality, internationalism - and now, without any
doubt, the very democracy of our nation - depends on
independence.
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