In an analysis of data for over ten million research teams,
across eleven academic fields from 1961 to 2020, a new working
paper from the Oxford Martin Programme on the Future of Work has
determined that over the past decade remote collaboration between
academic teams has led to more scientific breakthroughs.
This is a reversal of what was observed from the 1960s to the
2000s, when remote collaboration led to fewer scientific
breakthroughs and more incremental innovation.
At first this might seem to contradict the established
understanding that face-to-face and serendipitous interactions
spark creativity and new discoveries. However, researchers think
that remote collaborations are complementary and additive to
working in-person.
Dr Carl Benedikt Frey, Director of the Oxford Martin Programme on
the Future of Work said, “What we think we are seeing here is the
impact of cross-pollinating ideas across different institutions
and cities. When remote collaborations happen, individual
academics still discuss their ideas within their knowledge
networks at their institution. That means we might be seeing a
multiplying effect of serendipitous encounters and complementary
skills of multiple individuals from different institutions
sparking breakthroughs across remote teams.”
This research comes against the background of disruptive ideas
and scientific breakthroughs becoming increasingly rare and
harder to find, with incremental discovery now more common than
groundbreaking new findings.
Yet the research could indicate change in the near future. New
teams tend to create more disruptive science than existing teams,
and academics with access to better digital infrastructure see
better results from remote collaborations. As broadband internet
access continues to expand, and more researchers and institutions
can harness the new benefits of remote collaboration in the
digital age, we may see this change.
“We could be at the start of a new J-curve of research
productivity,” continues Frey. “Looking at the historical record
we see that steam and electricity led to delayed productivity
gains between their introduction and the time it took to improve
and learn how to use them efficiently. It is possible we will see
science and innovation at the start of the
21st century mirroring the start of the
20th as the benefits of digital collaboration
tools enable researchers to think and work differently.”
“As we are learning to succeed with remote work – minimising its
drawbacks while maximising its benefits – not just in day-to-day
operations, but also in science and innovation, productivity
seems set to surge.”
The working paper, Disrupting Science is
published in full by the Oxford Martin School at https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/publications/disrupting-science/.