The Treasury Committee today warns Russia that it is heading
towards economic catastrophe, but that its invasion of Ukraine
will have a significant economic impact on the cost of living in
the UK.
The cross-party Committee of MPs deplores the illegal and
unprovoked invasion of Ukraine and supports the imposition of
severe economic sanctions against Russia, but cautions that the
UK is likely to feel economic consequences and calls on the
Government to provide additional financial assistance for those
on the lowest incomes.
In a report on Defeating Putin: the
development, implementation and impact of economic sanctions on
Russia, the Committee warns that the UK is not protected from
the economic consequences of sanctions on oil and gas, and that
further sanctions will lead to higher prices, with knock-on
effects for households and businesses.
The Committee also calls for guidance issued to businesses
involved in implementing sanctions to be clearer, and resource
for the Office of Financial Sanctions Implementation to be
boosted.
The report considers the effectiveness of current measures, the
scope for further action and the enforcement regime required to
enact sanctions. The impact of the Government’s action on the UK
economy, Russia and the wider world is also considered, as is the
role of the financial services industry in implementing
sanctions.
Commenting on the report, Rt. Hon. MP, Chair of the Treasury Committee, said:
“Putin’s deplorable invasion of Ukraine has sent shockwaves
around the world and the UK has rightly imposed considerable and
unprecedented sanctions on Russia. As a Committee, we condemn the
inhumane actions of President Putin and are united in the view
that we must continue to press forward with significant sanctions
to cause maximum damage to Russia’s economy in order to persuade
Putin to stop.
“The Committee will continue to investigate what additional tools
we have in our armoury to bear down on Putin’s aggression and to
further damage the Russian economy and its ability to fund this
war.
“This war will also have economic consequences here at home, and
while these are worth bearing to support Ukraine in their fight
for freedom, it’s becoming increasingly clear that the Government
will need to support those who are hit hardest by price rises.
Recent reports show that the public finances are in a stronger
position than anticipated, and the Chancellor should use this
additional fiscal firepower to bring forward support for those on
the lowest incomes.”
Report summary:
- The Committee deplores the illegal and unprovoked invasion of
Ukraine by Russia. The Prime Minister was right to insist that
the UK, alongside its international partners, implement stringent
economic sanctions against Russia.
- The Russian economy, and its citizens, have already been
substantially hit by the significant sanctions imposed by the UK
and its international partners, and Russia faces both a
significant hit to the size of its economy and significant
inflation. One of the boldest moves in the financial sanctions
package has been the sanctions levelled at the Russian Central
Bank, which appear to have denied access by Russia to half of its
reserves. The energy sanctions already imposed are likely to
inflict significant damage on the Russian economy. If energy
sanctions and reductions in demand are introduced in line with
the statements made by the United States, EU, the UK and others
then the impact on Russia’s economy could be catastrophic and
long lasting.
- Where there remain elements of the sanctions net around
Russia not yet closed, including to allow energy payments and
supplies, the Government should consider how to ensure there is
minimal leakage.
- The sanctions against Russia are without precedent given the
size of its economy and its integration with the West. The
Committee is concerned that guidance for those who have to
implement sanctions has appeared to have lagged behind that
available in the United States. The Government must, as a
priority, ensure that its guidance is clear, precise and readily
available, to allow the effective implementation of sanctions
across the private sector.
- The Government needs to consider increasing the Office of
Financial Sanctions Implementation's (OFSI) resources without
delay and to provide surge capacity in the form of staff with
appropriate expertise.
- The Committee welcomes the reminder from the regulatory
authorities that cryptoassets are within the scope of the
sanctions regime, and recommends that the Government take a
watchful approach to how cryptocurrencies are used to potentially
evade sanctions, and ensure it has the knowledge and expertise to
effectively monitor developments in this area.
- The Committee notes the caution expressed by witnesses about
the impact of possible secondary sanctions. The Foreign,
Commonwealth and Development Office will need to take into
account the economic cost to the UK and the extent to which
Russia circumvents Western sanctions through non-sanctioned
Russian reserves and trade with other countries.
- Despite producing significant amounts of oil and gas, the UK
is not protected from the economic consequences of sanctioning
Russian oil and gas production. The price paid for gas in the UK
is dependent on the level of demand for gas in Europe and the
price paid for oil is dependent on the global price. Further
sanctions on Russian oil or gas will lead to higher prices, which
in turn will feed through to UK households and businesses.
- There will be a cost to the UK economy of the economic
sanctions imposed on Russia. It is not possible yet to quantify
that cost, but the Committee believes that, on the information
currently available, it is most definitely a cost worth bearing
in order to aid Ukraine in opposing Russian aggression. However,
that cost, combined with the already present pressures in the UK
on the cost of living, will impact the whole country, and will be
felt particularly by low income households.
- As the Government moves forward with its sanctions strategy,
it must take further action to support UK households - in
particular those on lower incomes - to manage the subsequent rise
in energy and other costs.
- Business confidence has wavered in response to Russia's
invasion of Ukraine. The Government should consider what steps
can be taken to boost business investment and growth and
specifically how it can help firms which have been directly
affected by the economic sanctions against Russia. The Government
should also look to accelerate the UK's transition to a more
secure energy supply whilst also reaffirming their commitment to
net zero and a just transition.
- ENDS -
Notes to Editors
Russia: effective economic sanctions inquiry
- The Committee launched its inquiry into Russia: effective
economic sanctions in March 2022. Replay
links and transcripts for oral evidence sessions can be found
here.
- The inquiry took the following terms of reference:
- The effectiveness of the current economic sanctions that
have been imposed in relation to the invasion of Ukraine by
Russia.
- Scope for further possible economic sanctions in relation
to the invasion of Ukraine by Russia.
- Compliance with the sanctions and the scope for evasion.
- The ability to take enforcement action against breaches,
and the effectiveness of the enforcement regime.
- The impact of sanctions on the UK, Russian and world
economy.
- The role of financial services in implementing sanctions,
the impact of those sanctions on financial services, and the
role of regulators.