IFS: Severe squeeze on further education and sixth-form funding in England

• Since 2010–11, funding per student aged 16–18 in further education has fallen by 8% in real terms and is now at about the same level as during the late 2000s.
• Funding per student in school sixth forms has fallen by 21% since its peak in 2010–11, and remains lower than at any point since at least 2002–03.
•  Funding for adult education has been cut by 45% since 2009–10, which has mostly been delivered through fewer adult learners taking qualifications at GCSE level or below.

While total school spending per pupil has fallen by 8% between 2009–10 and 2017–18, this has mainly been driven by a 55% cut to local authority spending on services and the large cuts to sixth-form funding. Funding per pupil provided to individual primary and secondary schools has been better protected and is about 4% below its recent historic high in 2015, though it remains over 60% higher than in 2000–01.

These are amongst the main findings of our inaugural annual report on education spending in England, funded by the Nuffield Foundation, which is published today. These annual reports will provide the latest figures on the level of spending per student at different stages of education in England. Our first edition includes a special focus on further education and school sixth forms.  

All figures quoted are in today’s prices and all changes quoted are in real terms. The chart below shows our main estimates of spending per student across different stages of education. Our main findings for each stage of education are as follows:

Large expansion in spending on early years education 

• Spending on the 3- and 4-year-old free entitlement to early education has risen from almost nothing in the early 1990s to about £3 billion in 2017–18. There has been a particularly big increase of £500 million in the past year as more hours of free childcare are now available. Spending per hour is 9% higher than last year, the biggest increase since 2012–13.
• Early years spending in other areas has fallen. Childcare subsidies fell by 13% between 2009–10 and 2017–18, and spending on Sure Start children’s centres fell by 67%.  

• Funding per pupil in primary and secondary schools is around 4% lower than its peak in 2015–16. Funding per pupil was protected in real terms between 2010–11 and 2015–16, before falling between 2015–16 and 2017–18. Additional funding between 2017–18 and 2019–20 will prevent further falls but will not reverse earlier cuts. This leaves funding levels around £4,700 per primary school pupil and £6,200 per secondary school pupil in 2017–18, both about 60% higher than in 2000–01. 
• Even so, total per-pupil spending on schools has fallen by about 8% in real terms since 2009–10. This is largely driven by a 55% cut in spending per pupil on services provided by local authorities and a cut of more than 20% in sixth-form funding per pupil. Funding per pupil provided direct to individual schools has been more protected.
• Schools also face spending pressure from rises in staff costs and extra responsibilities. After the squeeze on public sector pay between 2010–11 and 2015–16, public sector pay per head is now expected to grow faster (11%) than general inflation between 2015–16 and 2019–20 (7%). This is the result of extra employer pension and National Insurance costs, and the lifting of the 1% cap on public sector pay awards.

• Funding per student aged 16–18 has seen the biggest squeeze of all stages of education for young people in recent years. School sixth forms have faced budget cuts of 21% per student since their peak in 2010–11, while further education and sixth-form college funding per student has fallen by about 8% over the same period, though from a lower base.
• By 2019–20, funding per young person in further education will be at about the same level as in 2006–07: only 10% higher than it was thirty years earlier in 1989–90. Spending per student in school sixth forms will be lower than at any point since at least 2002. The greater falls in sixth-form funding came from a higher base and mostly result from a new funding formula, which sought to fund colleges and sixth forms on an equivalent basis.
• The number of adult learners in further education or apprenticeships has fallen by 29% since 2010–11, from 3.2 million to 2.2 million. However, most of the fall has been in learners studying for qualifications at GCSE level or below, which often deliver low economic returns. Even so, more than three-quarters of qualifications that adult learners are studying for are at this level.
• Total funding for adult education and apprenticeships has fallen by more than the number of adult learners or apprentices – by 45% since 2009–10. In 2017–18, £2.3 billion was spent on adult education. A third of this was spent on apprenticeships, up from 13% in 2010–11.

• Universities currently receive just over £9,000 per full-time undergraduate student per year to fund the cost of their teaching. This is 22% higher than it was in 2011, and nearly 60% more than in 1997.
• Reforms since 2011 cut the impact on the headline measure of the government’s deficit by about £6 billion per cohort entering higher education. A lot of direct government spending on teaching and maintenance grants has been replaced with tuition and maintenance loans. This has reduced the deficit impact of higher education by around 90%.
• The long-run cost to the taxpayer has probably been cut by less than £1 billion, though this will depend on what happens to graduates’ earnings in the future. Because a large share of tuition and maintenance loans is not expected to be repaid, the expected long-run cost per student has only fallen by around 9% relative to the 2011 system.